Sitemap

Regus

How the Hybrid Model Can Boost the Bottom Line

With a global network of around 4,000 locations spanning 1,100 towns and cities across more than 120 countries, Regus helps over eight million people...

Heineken

Brewing a Better World Together

From barley to bar, more than 150 years, we are committed to making a positive impact on the world around us. We are aware...

Luboš Berkovec, Mobi Banka Chief Operations Officer

Dedicated to Modern Banking

Mobi Banka has been dedicated to digital banking from the very beginning, in 2014. Stability and reliability forms the foundations of its business, as...

Miloš Lončar, Client Solutions Lead for SEE, Dell Technologies

Valued Partner to the Public Sector

Dell distinguishes itself as a pioneer in various domains of technology, including hybrid cloud solutions, cybersecurity, edge and high-performance computing, but also innovative social...

Vladimir Spasić, Dell Account Executive

E-services Ease Our Lives

As one of the leaders of the IT sector, and thanks to its wealth of experience and extensive network of partners, Dell is able...

Bojan Vranić Ph.d., Associate Professor Of The Faculty Of Political Science

Awaiting Voters

The return of voters to the polls in a new round of elections will mean the return of non-sns voters. This brings uncertainty to the results of the belgrade elections and, to a certain extent, the presidential elections. Specifically, voters in Belgrade represent a significant part of those who’ve abstained to date, which could lead to shaking the sns government in Belgrade and, more importantly, create a higher probability of the presidential elections requiring two rounds.

The 2020 parliamentary elections carried the epithet of preelections for the presidential elections, parliamentary elections and elections for the City of Belgrade to be held in 2022. This unusual situation is part of the shadow that’s fallen over the legitimacy of last year’s elections: the lowest turnout in the history of parliamentary elections (48.93%), the opposition boycott and the COVID-19 pandemic. These facts represent the point of embarkation for 2022 elections.

The turnout was eight per cent lower in 2020 than in the 2016 parliamentary elections, and 12% lower than the average turnout during the period from 2003 to 2012. The cause of this reduction is being sought in the pandemic and opposition boycott. According to a survey conducted by CESID (April 2020), approximately 10% of citizens felt fear and other negative emotions due to the pandemic. The same research shows that almost two-thirds of citizens were more satisfied than dissatisfied with the state’s preventative measures. In other words, SNS, as the mainstay of the government, didn’t make a catastrophic mistake during the pandemic that could have led to it being abandoned by the electorate. Along with the fear of COVID-19, the opposition boycott deepened absenteeism among citizens. On the other hand, the number of SNS voters increased by about 130,000 compared to 2016, while at the same time the number of voters opting for SPS fell by about 80,000. SNS completed its colonisation and consolidation of the centre-right ideological spectrum in 2020, with which the system with a dominant party has been strengthened in Serbia, and as a rule this increases the number of those abstaining from voting and strengthens apathetic preferences of voters, which can be boiled to “things will stay the same regardless of how I vote”.

Sns completed its colonisation and consolidation of the centre-right ideological spectrum in 2020, with which the system with a dominant party has been strengthened in serbia, and as a rule this increases the number of those abstaining from voting and strengthens apathetic preferences of voters, which can be boiled to “things will stay the same regardless of how I vote”.

How will this trend impact on the 2022 elections? A view of the management of the crisis during the pandemic that’s positive to a certain extent, as well as the implementation of mass vaccination, testifies to the claim that fearful emotions won’t lead to a reduction in the turnout in 2022. Moreover, if we take into account that the highest turnouts came during the polarised system (2000-2012), a question arises as to whether the opposition will close ranks in the next 18 months, which would motivate abstainers to return to the ballot boxes. This would see the turnout return to 55% (the average turnout from 2012 to 2016). The biggest question mark hangs over Belgrade voters, who could increase the overall turnout if they vote en masse. The number of SNS voters will not change significantly, because that part of the ideological spectrum has been consolidated, but a higher turnout will certainly impact on the number of SNS mandates in the National Assembly. In that sense, SNS will probably return to a result of 48% of votes, which still wouldn’t change much in the structure of relations in the Assembly.

The return of voters to the polls is the return of non-SNS voters. There is uncertainty when it comes to the Belgrade elections and, to a certain extent, presidential elections. A significant part of those who’ve been abstaining from voting are among voters in Belgrade; if the city turnout reaches an average of 55% (2008-2018), it can be expected that the SNS government in Belgrade will be shaken and, more importantly, that presidential elections will more likely require two rounds. It is a thankless task to discuss the possible outcome of presidential elections until we see the most serious opposition candidate to take on Aleksandar Vučić. There are no such candidates for now.

Comment By Zoran Panovic

Consolidating Power

Vucic’s campaign (despite the elections not being presidential) is being conducted like crisis management. The aim is to convince his supporters, and even more...

Aleksandar Baucal Ph.D, full professor at the Faculty of Philosophy in Belgrade

What I’m Listening to and What’s Happening to Me

The key question for this election is the extent to which citizens will believe the image presented to them through the media more than...

Ana Stijiljkovic, Political Communication Consultant, Media and Communication Researcher, Loughborough University

Converting Dissatisfaction into Votes will be Challenging

The upcoming elections in Serbia will take place in an atmosphere devoid of free discussion or support for democratic choices from electoral institutions. And...

Bogdan Živkovic, historian

Serbia has Election Fatigue

Serbia enters the December election period in a remarkably calm mood, weary from overexploited political issues, passions and ideas. Nothing points to change. However,...

CorD Magazine Celebrates 20 Years

alliance international media (AIM doo), the publisher of CorD Magazine, organized a celebration at the Aeroclub, marking the 20th anniversary of...

NALED: One of the First Open Innovation Projects in Serbia to Commence Soon

One of Serbia's first 'open innovation' projects is set to commence soon, offering scientific and research organizations a unique...

Serbia Acquires Historic WWII Directive Ordering Attack on Yugoslavia

The Government of the Republic of Serbia announced that, following its recent acquisition of a piece by Paja Jovanović...

Belgrade Hosts International Energy and Environmental Fairs

At the Belgrade Fair, the 18th International Energy Fair and the 19th International Environmental Protection Fair have been opened,...

Milan Radulović Awarded French Order of Arts and Letters

Milan Radulović, the director of the Music Youth of Novi Sad and the Novi Sad Music Festivities, has been...

CorD Magazine Celebrates 20 Years

alliance international media (AIM doo), the publisher of CorD Magazine, organized a celebration at the Aeroclub, marking the 20th anniversary of...

NALED: One of the First Open Innovation Projects in Serbia to Commence Soon

One of Serbia's first 'open innovation' projects is set to commence soon, offering scientific and research organizations a unique...

Serbia Acquires Historic WWII Directive Ordering Attack on Yugoslavia

The Government of the Republic of Serbia announced that, following its recent acquisition of a piece by Paja Jovanović...

Belgrade Hosts International Energy and Environmental Fairs

At the Belgrade Fair, the 18th International Energy Fair and the 19th International Environmental Protection Fair have been opened,...

Milan Radulović Awarded French Order of Arts and Letters

Milan Radulović, the director of the Music Youth of Novi Sad and the Novi Sad Music Festivities, has been...

CorD Magazine Celebrates 20 Years

alliance international media (AIM doo), the publisher of CorD Magazine, organized a celebration at the Aeroclub, marking the 20th anniversary of...

NALED: One of the First Open Innovation Projects in Serbia to Commence Soon

One of Serbia's first 'open innovation' projects is set to commence soon, offering scientific and research organizations a unique...

Serbia Acquires Historic WWII Directive Ordering Attack on Yugoslavia

The Government of the Republic of Serbia announced that, following its recent acquisition of a piece by Paja Jovanović...

Belgrade Hosts International Energy and Environmental Fairs

At the Belgrade Fair, the 18th International Energy Fair and the 19th International Environmental Protection Fair have been opened,...

Milan Radulović Awarded French Order of Arts and Letters

Milan Radulović, the director of the Music Youth of Novi Sad and the Novi Sad Music Festivities, has been...
spot_img